The Rich Dad Method of Losing Money
I know, I keeping talking about so-called "gurus" and their terrible advice. Today I was fully prepared to discuss other topics of interest, including some general success methods and a little chat about the history of hedge funds. All of that was put aside when I read the latest Robert Kiyosaki article on Yahoo! Finance.
I was raised Republican. I voted Republican. I believed that I truly was Republican. I honestly thought that free markets work and that everyone should be left to their own decisions. But as I age I find myself swinging more and more to the Democrats. I'm realizing that many people are truly idiots. They should not be making their own decisions, because they'll just end up hanging themselves. We live in a nation where a company that was founded to sell computers to the poor at insane rates, has now expanded it's line-up to include plasma TVs!
Today I beginning to believe that many (if not most) people are idiots. So when I see something that's utter ridiculous in an article written by a self-proclaimed "investor, entrepreneur and educator", it dawns on me that there are people out there who won't realize the foolishness. Who will make life-changing decisions based on his fallacies. And I worry.
Interestingly enough, Robert's article begins with a retraction. Of sorts. You see, the last article he wrote, about how horrible mutual funds are (see my post, 4 Lies That Gurus Tell You) wasn't really written by him. And you see, he wasn't really telling the truth either. Oh, he wasn't lying, he was simply joking. Of course smart readers would have recognized the joke. You're not a dumb reader, are you?
Maybe he was joking, and I have no conclusive evidence that leads me to my own personal conclusions that his article was so incorrect, and received so much heat, that he had to distance himself from those opinions. So not only is it a joke, but it's a joke that someone else wrote...
Then he begins a new article, and ends up committing a serious logical inconsistency that completely reverses his arguments. In other words, he actually proves himself wrong. Let's see if you can catch it:
Let's break this down to spot where he loses his train of thought. He begins by explaining that debt holds a higher priority than equity, thus making it a safer investment. He's correct in this. When something goes wrong, the first people to cash out are the debt holders. There's an anecdote from Liar's Poker about an investor and a bond trader. The investor makes some comment about owning a company, and the bond holder corrects him by saying that, actually, he owns the company. The investor is puzzled and says that he controls the majority of the stock, so the company is his, right? And the bond trader says "Yes, but let's see how much is left after I call on the company's debts."There are other lessons to be learned from the investing food chain. One is the power of debt in contrast to equity. Debt holds a higher position than equity, and bankers and bondholders are in debt positions. Preferred stocks, stocks, and mutual funds are in equity positions.
The takeaway here is that most amateur investors try to get out of debt positions and into equity positions, where they invest with their own money or assets. Professional investors would rather be in a debt position -- investing with a banker's money, for instance -- simply because debt is less risky than equity.
Yes, I butchered the story (my copy of that book is an ocean away right now). But the point is clear, people who own debts are first in line to get paid. If a company like Enron goes down, the debtors are paid first and the stock holders get whatever, if anything, is left. So I have to agree with him in that first statement.
But then Robert tries to use that statement to leapfrog into a claim that amateur investors invest their own money and that the pros borrow money to invest. Do you see the problem here?
At first Robert is using the term "debt position" to refer to the person who owns debt. In the very next paragraph he neatly swaps the term "debt position" to mean someone who borrows a lot of money. He's talking out of both sides of his mouth at the same time.
If you extrapolate from his first definition of "debt position" you would reach the logical conclusion that to minimize risk you should buy debt vehicles such as bonds, treasury bills and municipals. That is actually sound investment advice, and people who can't weather the volatility of stocks often are advised to buy bond funds.
But he goes the opposite direction in the second paragraph and tells you to borrow money to invest, or in other words, invest on margin. How is that safe? If I invest the bank's money and I lose it all, how have I protected anything? You think the bank is going to say "Well, it was our money you invested... I guess I'll just let this go"?
My goldfish can give you better business advice than this.
AND I DON'T EVEN HAVE A GOLDFISH!!!!
Leverage is to finance as a baby is to a marriage. A baby won't make your marriage any better or any worse, it'll just multiply the conditions that already exist. A child born into a good marriage will strengthen the bond, but a child born into a rocky marriage will simply deepen the divide. Money is the same way. Investing borrowed money into a good decision will multiply your returns, but investing borrowed cash into a money-pit is the quickest route to financial ruin.
In addition he goes on about "recourse debt" and "non-recourse debt". He does a good job of explaining the difference between the two (mortgages, in case you were curious, are non-recourse). But then he lets on smugly that he only takes on non-recourse debt, as if it were some big secret that he's letting you in on. What he doesn't tell you is (if he's telling the truth, and not joking again) that he pays for that privilege. Banks are relatively smart, and they know the difference between the two types of debt as well. So if you want a non-recourse loan, which increases the risk that they might lose money, your interest rate goes up accordingly.
What kills me are the legions of adoring fans out there taking his advice at face value. The man literally wrote an argument that contradicted itself in front of a national audience and his comments are filled with phrases like:
- This advice is PRICELESS!With get-rich-quick minds like these, it's not hard to figure out why the rich keep getting richer. It's people like this who are driving me to become a Democrat. I honestly doubt their ability to take care of themselves. It because of these people that laws, such as those surrounding "accredited investors", exist. If you are unfamiliar with that term, I'll go into it in more depth on Tuesday (yes, I'm baiting you. But if you are really curious just Google the term).
- That's my idol, a controversial expert! I really learn a lot from you Kiyosaki, you are a real genius. God I hope I will have a mentor like you.
- I love Robert Kiyosaki! He changed my life...I read One book of his, and now I own 3 houses a year later...this year I will buy 3 more.....oh and I quit my stupid job....so leave him alone!!!!!!!!!!
- Robert, some people may never get it, but a few of us would, thank you!
In the mean time, let me leave you with my favorite comment:
I LOVE SEEING ALL THE [people who rated Kiyosaki's article poorly]...IT JUST PROVES HOW MANY IGNORANT PEOPLE ARE OUT THERE, AND HOW THEY HAVE ABSOLUTELY NOTHING AND COMPLAIN ABOUT EVERYTHING, AND IT SUITS THEM RIGHT....YOU [people who disagree with Kiyosaki] WILL NEVER GET IT, OR EVER HAVE IT AND WILL BE BAGGING MY GROCERIES FOR YEARS!! ROBERTS COMMENTS, LESSONS, AND INFORMATION IS PRICELESS AND IT WORKS. THANKS ROBERT FOR YOUR ONGOING INFORMATION.
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Most people who support the idea that you need to live frugally and save money in order to enrich themselves. But there are some problems to save money, which is why this method to keep millions of people get richer.
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2015/08/26
2019.09.04酒店工作咪董的台北市酒店兼差余進福,在今年七月癌症病逝享年56歲,今天(3號)家屬在一殯舉辦告別式。由於他過去為人海派人脈廣,至少七八百人致意。過去,余進福從中山區酒店起家,外傳鼎盛時期旗下至少有酒店兼職千名酒店小姐,外界還稱他酒店帝王。一殯外頭上百人,秩序整齊進入公祭會場默哀致意,一批過後再來一批,甚至出動六台賓士車,滿滿的花籃擺滿會場,眼前這個排場,就是要來追悼酒店經紀綽號咪董的北市酒店大亨。東森新聞記者張炤和:「綽號咪董的北市酒店大亨余進福,今年7月因為癌症病逝,由於他在生前人脈相當廣,並且廣結善緣,因此在告別式中至少有將近7、8百人為他送行。」咪董生前人脈廣,卻在7月22號因為癌症逝世,享年56歲,由於黑白兩道都熟識,3號公祭現場就在第一殯儀館的景行廳舉行,從議員、地方人士,甚至經紀公司的代表都一一羅列出席致意。據了解,咪董本名余進福,從北投發跡,過去出身北聯幫,之後插旗中山區酒店生意,生意頭腦很好的他開始拓展版圖,帶入禮服店文化,鼎盛時期,旗下有近千名酒店小姐,外界號稱酒店帝王,不僅如此,還成立經紀公司,培養成模特兒,拓展事業版圖,結交各路朋友下,事業越做越大,最後卻因為身體狀況去世,但好人緣,公祭當天,咪董的好友議員林瑞圖也現身會場。他是一個非常海派,又講義氣的人,慈善的活動他都會去捐助,做捐錢捐什麼東西,他都不為人知,他就是這樣子,(生前)跟我見面,問我二階幹細胞醫療癌症醫療法。這次,昔日的酒店大亨不敵病魔逝世,台北酒店地盤勢力勢必重新洗牌。
2020.01.10台北酒店經紀人力銀行北部酒店工作開發部暨發展中心知名酒店經紀表示,以往上班族酒店兼差大多以門檻低、需要大量酒店小姐的酒店上班服務業為主,不過,隨著網路科技進步,八大行業就業酒店打工市場兼差型態也開始轉變,像是網紅、直播主首次擠入酒店上班從事酒店兼職工作的前5名。不過,許多年輕人要成為知名紅牌酒店小姐需要有創意、具備個人特色或是領域專業,也要具備國外接飯局(陪睡性交易)企劃、經過酒店經紀後製及行銷能力。酒店小姐要先吸睛,才有機會吸金。為了解上班族酒店兼職/大學生酒店兼差現況,酒店經紀人力銀行特別設計「台北風俗酒店經紀兼差現況調查」,酒店經紀2020年自1月1日到12月30日間進行網路亞洲大規模酒店上班問卷抽樣調查,有效樣本數為2000份,信心水準93%,誤差值為正負7.9個百分點。
2020.01.10台北酒店經紀人力銀行北部酒店工作開發部暨發展中心知名酒店經紀表示,以往上班族酒店兼差大多以門檻低、需要大量酒店小姐的酒店上班服務業為主,不過,隨著網路科技進步,八大行業就業酒店打工市場兼差型態也開始轉變,像是網紅、直播主首次擠入酒店上班從事酒店兼職工作的前5名。不過,許多年輕人要成為知名紅牌酒店小姐需要有創意、具備個人特色或是領域專業,也要具備國外接飯局(陪睡性交易)企劃、經過酒店經紀後製及行銷能力。酒店小姐要先吸睛,才有機會吸金。為了解上班族酒店兼職/大學生酒店兼差現況,酒店經紀人力銀行特別設計「台北風俗酒店經紀兼差現況調查」,酒店經紀2020年自1月1日到12月30日間進行網路亞洲大規模酒店上班問卷抽樣調查,有效樣本數為2000份,信心水準93%,誤差值為正負7.9個百分點。
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